Daily Market Brief

Egypt & Global Markets · Research Desk
Saturday, 1 August 2026 · Hedge Research Desk
The Read
Big-tech earnings (Amazon +15%, Alphabet +7%) drove a broad Friday rally that erased the FOMC-day sell-off; markets enter August with renewed risk-on sentiment as Egypt banks a fresh $1.8 bn IMF tranche.
Strategy · Execution · Growth
S&P 5007,500.52+0.85%Dow Jones52,596.95+0.74%Nasdaq Composite25,391.28+1.07%FTSE 10010,868.05-0.27%DAX25,629.24+0.07%CAC 408,509.64+0.28%Gold$4,076Brent$89.95USD/EGP50.70-1.09%EUR/USD1.1750approxCBE depo19.00%holdFed3.50–3.75%S&P 5007,500.52+0.85%Dow Jones52,596.95+0.74%Nasdaq Composite25,391.28+1.07%FTSE 10010,868.05-0.27%DAX25,629.24+0.07%CAC 408,509.64+0.28%Gold$4,076Brent$89.95USD/EGP50.70-1.09%EUR/USD1.1750approxCBE depo19.00%holdFed3.50–3.75%
EGX 30
53,729.97
+0.19%
S&P 500
7,500.52
+0.85%
Gold
$4,076
USD / EGP
50.70
-1.09%
Brent
$89.95
CBE / Fed
19.00% / 3.50–3.75%
policy
01

5-Year Trend

The structural picture behind today’s tape — pick an indicator to see its five-year path.

EGX 30 · index
53,730
▲ +367% 5y
8,12220,36832,61544,86257,108 20212022202320242025-H12026-08-01 EGX 30
USD / EGP · EGP
50.70
▲ +223% 5y
12.8923.0733.2543.4353.61 202120222023202420252026-08-01 USD / EGP
CBE Policy Rate (Overnight Deposit) · %
19.00%
▼ -825bps since Apr 2025
6.7%12.2%17.8%23.3%28.8% 20212022202320242025-Apr2026-Feb CBE Policy Rate (Overnight Deposit)
S&P 500 · index
7,500
▲ +57% 5y
3,5474,6095,6706,7317,793 202120222023202420252026-07-31 S&P 500
Fed Funds Target · %
3.50–3.75%
▼ Held Jul 29 (9-3 vote); -75bps from peak
-0.3%1.2%2.8%4.3%5.8% 202120222023202420252026-07-29 Fed Funds Target
Gold · XAU/USD · $/oz
$4,076
▼ +123% 5y; -27% from ATH $5,595
1,6442,2972,9503,6034,256 20212022202320242025-H22026-07-31 Gold · XAU/USD
02

Equities

Global Indiceslevels · latest change
IndexLevelChange
S&P 500 Jul 31 close; Amazon +15% led tech recovery post-FOMC7,500.52+0.85%
Dow Jones Jul 31 close; fourth straight winning month52,596.95+0.74%
Nasdaq Composite Jul 31 close; snapped six-day losing streak Th then extended gains Fri25,391.28+1.07%
FTSE 100 Jul 31 close; Yahoo Finance10,868.05-0.27%
DAX Jul 31 close; continental Europe outperformed UK25,629.24+0.07%
CAC 40 Jul 31 close; Yahoo Finance8,509.64+0.28%
Nikkei 225 Jul 31 close; semiconductor rally on US tech earnings64,362.02+4.03%
Hang Seng Jul 31 close; near resistance at 25,20025,884.43+0.10%
Egypt & RegionEGX
IndexLevelChange
EGX 30 Investing.com live Aug 1; day range 53,633–54,003; 52-wk 33,800–54,97753,729.97+0.19%
03

Rates & Central Banks

Egypt · CBE
19.00%
Overnight deposit — Unchanged – third consecutive hold; MPC Jul 10 2026.
On hold
Egypt · CBE
20.00%
Overnight lending — Unchanged – corridor ceiling; MPC Jul 10 2026.
US · Federal Reserve
3.50–3.75%
Fed funds target — on hold.
Egypt · CBE Corridor, Bills & Bondspolicy real · yields indicative
InstrumentRate / YieldNote
Policy corridor
Overnight deposit19.00%Unchanged – third consecutive hold; MPC Jul 10 2026
Overnight lending20.00%Unchanged – corridor ceiling; MPC Jul 10 2026
Main operation rate19.50%Unchanged; MPC Jul 10 2026
Discount rate19.50%Unchanged; effective from Feb 15 2026; CBE.org.eg
Global Benchmark Rateslatest levels
RateLevel
United States
Fed funds target on hold3.50–3.75%
SOFR (overnight)3.65%
1-year UST4.08%
2-year UST4.28%
3-year UST4.34%
5-year UST4.45%
10-year UST4.75%
30-year UST5.27%
Euro Area
ECB deposit facility2.25%
ECB main refinancing2.40%
ECB marginal lending2.65%
€STR2.19%
04

Currencies & Commodities

Currencieslatest
PairRateChange
USD / EGP50.70-1.09%
EUR / USD1.1750approx
GBP / USD1.3490approx
Commoditieslatest
CommodityPrice
Gold · XAU/USD Jul 31 2026 close; Investing.com; 52-wk ATH $5,595; Fed hold + suspected BoJ FX intervention drove intraday swings; Trading Economics $4,086▼ $4,076
Brent Crude Jul 30 2026; Forbes Advisor; 52-wk ATH $120.88 (Apr 30 2026); ceasefire hopes + softening demand weigh▼ $89.95
WTI Crude Investing.com Jul 31 range 83.01–85.93; prior month avg $77.13— $84.50
05

Global Economy

US · Fed Hold

Divided FOMC holds rates at 3.50–3.75% for fifth straight meeting as three members dissent in favour of a hike

(29 Jul) The Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to keep the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75%, citing solid growth and elevated inflation partly driven by Middle East conflict supply shocks. Three dissenting members wanted an immediate 25 bp hike — the first multi-dissent since 2022. Chair Warsh acknowledged the 'family fight' and signalled the September 15-16 meeting remains live; CME FedWatch puts a 41.9% chance of a hold in September.

Read full article → CNBC · Fox Business · Advisor Perspectives
US · Big Tech Earnings

Amazon surges 15%, Alphabet +7% as cloud AI revenues blow past estimates; Apple tumbles 8%

(31 Jul) Amazon's blowout cloud growth and Alphabet's AI-driven beat drove a broad Friday rally, with the Nasdaq closing up 1.07% and the S&P 500 adding 0.85%. Apple fell 8% on softer-than-expected iPhone demand, while Microsoft added 3% on Azure momentum. The Dow recorded its fourth straight winning month.

Read full article → CNBC · Trading Economics · 24/7 Wall St.
US · Stocks Bounce

Stocks rebound Thursday as Microsoft +16% and semiconductor rally snap Nasdaq's six-day losing streak

(29 Jul) U.S. equities snapped back sharply after the FOMC-day sell-off, with the Nasdaq Composite finishing 2.8% higher at 25,122 — ending a six-day losing streak — as Microsoft jumped 16% on Azure cloud beats and semiconductor names broadly recovered. The Dow surged 614 points and the S&P 500 climbed 1.7% to 7,437.

Read full article → CNBC
Rates · Treasuries

10-year UST closes July at 4.75%; 30-year hits 5.28% as hawkish FOMC dissents steepen the curve

(31 Jul) The US Treasury curve steepened materially following the Fed's three-dissent hold. The 10-year yield finished July at 4.75% (up from 4.68% the prior session on FRED), while the 30-year rose to 5.28%. The 1-year stands at 4.05%, keeping the 10-2 spread at +0.45 pp — still off inversion — and reflecting market pricing of potential rate hikes in late 2026.

Read full article → ETFTrends · StreetStats · FRED St. Louis Fed
Commodities · Oil

Brent eases to $89.95 as US–Iran ceasefire renewal hopes offset OPEC supply concerns

(30 Jul) Brent crude slipped 0.56% to $89.95/bbl, retreating from its April 30 peak of $120.88. Gold traded around $4,076–4,086 at month-end, drawing support from the Fed's dovish hold even as expectations of a September rate hike — now priced at ~63% probability — capped upside. Suspected Bank of Japan yen intervention added FX volatility to metals markets.

Read full article → Forbes Advisor · Trading Economics · RoboForex
06

Egypt Focus

Egypt macro, the external accounts and the EGX listing pipeline in focus — sourced from economyplusme, CBE, IMF and Enterprise.

Real GDP growth
5.2%
9M FY2025/26 (Jul–Mar)
Headline inflation
14.3%
-0.9pp m/m
Net FX reserves
$67.5bn
+$7.8bn y/y
CBE policy rate (deposit)
19.00%
Held – 3rd consecutive MPC
Remittances
+30% y/y
FY2025/26
Suez Canal revenues
Gradual recovery
vs FY24 trough $4bn
IMF · Disbursement

IMF board approves $1.8 bn disbursement for Egypt following seventh programme review

(31 Jul) The IMF executive board approved a ~$1.8 bn disbursement under Egypt's Extended Fund Facility and Resilience and Sustainability Facility, bringing total programme disbursements to approximately $7.3 bn. Deputy MD Nigel Clarke praised Egypt's solid macro entry position into the Middle East conflict but flagged elevated public debt and financing rollover needs as key vulnerabilities. The board also extended the programme to December 2026.

Read full article → Daily News Egypt · The National
IMF · Outlook

IMF warns inflation to re-accelerate to 16.7% in H2 2026 despite June easing; growth moderates to 4.4%

(31 Jul) The IMF's seventh review found headline inflation at 14.3% in June after peaking at 15.2% in March, but warned that energy price adjustments, exchange-rate depreciation and unfavourable base effects would push inflation back toward 16.7% in H2, delaying convergence to the CBE's 7% (±2pp) target by approximately one year. Egypt's economy grew 5.2% in the first three quarters of FY25/26; growth is expected to moderate to 4.4% for FY26/27.

Read full article → The National · Daily News Egypt
CBE · Rates Hold

CBE holds all four corridor rates for third consecutive MPC meeting; cites geopolitical risk and inflation upside

(11 Jul) The Monetary Policy Committee kept the overnight deposit rate at 19%, lending at 20%, main operation and discount rates at 19.5%. The MPC said real GDP growth showed a slight moderation in Q2 FY26 due to regional conflict impact, and that inflation is expected to resume a gradual downward path, reaching single digits and approaching the 7% target range during H2 2027. The committee flagged further regional escalation as the principal upside risk to inflation.

Read full article → Daily News Egypt · Egypt Today · CBE.org.eg
Egypt · FX Reserves

Egypt's foreign reserves hit record high; remittances climb 30%-plus in FY25/26

(16 Jul) Official reserves reached $67.5 bn at end-February 2026, up $7.8 bn year-on-year, supported by record remittance inflows — up more than 30% in the last fiscal year — robust tourism receipts, and a gradual recovery in Suez Canal revenues. The CBE has kept its key rate at 19% partly to preserve the high-yield carry that attracts non-resident portfolio inflows financing the fiscal deficit.

Read full article → The National · World Bank MPO
IMF · Post-Programme

Government to finalise post-IMF economic framework before end of September 2026

(28 Jul) The Egyptian government is close to completing its post-programme economic blueprint, according to Enterprise AM. In parallel, six public-sector holding companies are near transfer to line ministries or other state entities, while the second phase of restructuring 65 subsidiaries is due to begin by end-2026. The plan is expected to anchor fiscal consolidation and state footprint reduction commitments beyond the current IMF EFF.

Read full article → Enterprise AM
EGX · Corporate

EGX-listed Rameda Pharma to build ~$70 mn Saudi factory, partnering with LVP Pharma

(28 Jul) Rameda Pharmaceutical, listed on the EGX, confirmed in a bourse filing plans to construct a pharmaceutical manufacturing facility in Saudi Arabia worth approximately USD 70 mn in partnership with its largest shareholder LVP Pharma — owned by LimeVest healthcare investment firm. LVP recently raised its Rameda stake to 31.5% after acquiring an 8.3% block for EGP 847 mn. The move marks Egypt's most significant pharma foreign-direct-investment push of 2026.

Read full article → Enterprise AM
Egypt · Macro Risks

IMF flags elevated public debt, rollover needs and slow state-footprint reduction as key Egypt vulnerabilities

(31 Jul) Despite the $1.8 bn disbursement approval, the IMF noted substantial downside risks: potential escalation of regional tensions, difficulties sustaining tight policies amid social pressures, elevated rollover and refinancing needs, and slow progress reducing the state's economic footprint. On the upside, a renewal of the US–Iran ceasefire agreement, recovery in Suez Canal activity, and accelerated structural reforms could lower energy prices and boost investor sentiment.

Read full article → The National · IMF Country Report
Egypt · Regional Risk

Government updates economic scenarios for US–Israel–Iran military fallout; fuel prices under pressure

(Jul) PM Mostafa Madbouly directed the ministerial economic group to update comprehensive scenarios for handling the economic fallout of military operations involving the US, Israel and Iran. Energy import costs are rising due to higher oil prices during peak summer demand, and economists warn fuel subsidies could balloon if prices stay elevated, with fuel price pass-through a direct risk to CPI in H2 2026.

Read full article → Egypt Today
Egypt · EU Funds

EU disburses tranche from €5bn macro-financial assistance package to Egypt

(Jul) A payment under the EU's €5 bn macro-financial assistance package to Egypt has been released, according to Egypt Today. The disbursement follows continued coordination by Egypt's Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation overseeing the programme's implementation. The EU facility is designed to support Egypt's balance of payments and budget amid ongoing regional turbulence.

Read full article → Egypt Today
Suez Canal · Revenue

Suez Canal Economic Zone posts record revenue in FY2025/26 despite waterway traffic headwinds

(16 Jul) The Suez Canal Economic Zone recorded record revenue for FY2025/26, according to Ports Europe and Egypt Independent, even as overall Suez Canal shipping traffic has yet to fully recover from Red Sea disruptions that cut canal revenues from a $10.3 bn peak to an estimated $4 bn trough. The IMF's July review noted a gradual recovery in canal receipts, with a ceasefire extension flagged as the primary upside scenario.

Read full article → Egypt Independent · IMF