Daily Market Brief

Egypt & Global Markets · Research Desk
Tuesday, 28 July 2026 · Hedge Research Desk
The Read
A US–Iran hostilities pause sent oil sharply lower, eased Fed-hike fears and gave equities a brief bid, but a chip-sector selloff and pre-FOMC caution left Wall Street mixed; Egypt's EGX 30 traded near 53,400 as domestic macro data remained resilient and the CBE held rates for a third consecutive meeting.
Strategy · Execution · Growth
S&P 5007,413.18+0.02%Dow Jones52,210.08+0.51%Nasdaq Composite24,932.08-0.18%FTSE 10010,801.45+0.61%DAX25,508.21+1.63%CAC 408,372.28+0.88%Gold$4,077Brent$90.28USD/EGP50.70-1.10%CBE depo19.00%holdFed3.50–3.75%S&P 5007,413.18+0.02%Dow Jones52,210.08+0.51%Nasdaq Composite24,932.08-0.18%FTSE 10010,801.45+0.61%DAX25,508.21+1.63%CAC 408,372.28+0.88%Gold$4,077Brent$90.28USD/EGP50.70-1.10%CBE depo19.00%holdFed3.50–3.75%
EGX 30
53,417.59
n/a
S&P 500
7,413.18
+0.02%
Gold
$4,077
USD / EGP
50.70
-1.10%
Brent
$90.28
CBE / Fed
19.00% / 3.50–3.75%
policy
01

5-Year Trend

The structural picture behind today’s tape — pick an indicator to see its five-year path.

EGX 30 · index
53,417
▲ +347% 5y
8,50720,98533,46445,94358,421 2021202220232024-H12025-H22026-05-112026-07-28 EGX 30
USD / EGP · EGP
50.70
▲ +223% 5y
12.7323.4934.2545.0155.77 202120222023-Q12024-032025-072026-032026-07-28 USD / EGP
CBE Policy Rate (O/N Deposit) · %
19.00%
▼ -825bps since Apr 2025
6.7%12.2%17.8%23.3%28.8% 20212022202320242025-042026-022026-07-09 CBE Policy Rate (O/N Deposit)
S&P 500 · index
7,413
▲ +56% 5y
3,5544,5905,6276,6637,699 20212022202320242025-072026-07-27 S&P 500
Fed Funds Target · %
3.50–3.75%
— unchanged; decision Jul 29
-0.3%1.2%2.8%4.3%5.8% 20212022202320242025-H12026-07-28 Fed Funds Target
Gold · $/oz
$4,077
▼ +123% 5y
1,5222,6173,7134,8095,904 20212022202320242026-01-292026-07-27 Gold
02

Equities

Global Indiceslevels · latest change
IndexLevelChange
S&P 500 Jul 27 close; chip selloff offset by Iran-pause rally7,413.18+0.02%
Dow Jones Jul 27 close; led by Salesforce +5.4%52,210.08+0.51%
Nasdaq Composite Jul 27 close; Nvidia -5%, chip-sector drag24,932.08-0.18%
FTSE 100 Jul 28 intraday; oil pullback lifted consumer stocks10,801.45+0.61%
DAX Jul 28 intraday25,508.21+1.63%
CAC 40 Jul 26 close (last verified)8,372.28+0.88%
Nikkei 225 Jul 28 AM session64,931.19+0.50%
Hang Seng Jul 28 AM session25,207.18+0.98%
Egypt & RegionEGX
IndexLevelChange
EGX 30 Jul 28 intraday; range 53,406–54,10753,417.59n/a
03

Rates & Central Banks

Egypt · CBE
19.00%
Overnight deposit — Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC; third consecutive hold.
On hold
Egypt · CBE
20.00%
Overnight lending — Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC.
US · Federal Reserve
3.50–3.75%
Fed funds target — on hold.
Egypt · CBE Corridor, Bills & Bondspolicy real · yields indicative
InstrumentRate / YieldNote
Policy corridor
Overnight deposit19.00%Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC; third consecutive hold
Overnight lending20.00%Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC
Main operation19.50%Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC
Discount rate19.50%Unchanged — Jul 9 MPC
Global Benchmark Rateslatest levels
RateLevel
United States
Fed funds target on hold3.50–3.75%
SOFR (overnight)3.64%
1-year UST4.14%
2-year UST4.31%
3-year UST4.35%
5-year UST4.40%
10-year UST4.65%
30-year UST5.12%
Euro Area
ECB deposit facility2.25%
ECB main refinancing2.40%
ECB marginal lending2.65%
€STR2.19%
United Kingdom
10-year Gilt Jul 21 2026 per sofrrate.com5.02%
04

Currencies & Commodities

Currencieslatest
PairRateChange
USD / EGP50.70-1.10%
Commoditieslatest
CommodityPrice
Gold · XAU/USD Jul 27 2026 close (Trading Economics); range $4,007–$4,157 expected Jul 28; US–Iran pause eased inflation fears; all-time high $5,602 on Jan 29 2026▲ $4,077
Brent Crude · ICE Jul 27 2026; US–Iran strikes paused over weekend; down from ~$100+ last week; 52-week high $120.88 on Apr 30▼ $90.28
WTI Crude · NYMEX Jul 27 2026; Houthi Red Sea attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities kept a floor; Sep contract per Trading Economics▼ $82.62
05

Global Economy

Geopolitics · US–Iran

US and Iran pause hostilities, Strait of Hormuz tensions ease ahead of Fed

(27 Jul) A temporary break in US–Iran fighting held on Monday after Washington paused two weeks of strikes without official announcement, while Tehran said it had ended its retaliatory operations and held talks via Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude slumped more than 8% toward $90/bbl, reversing part of the ~40% surge this month. CME FedWatch trimmed the probability of a Wednesday rate hike to ~30.5% from 37.4% at Friday's close.

Read full article → Reuters · CNBC · Trading Economics
US · Equities / Tech

Chip-sector selloff deepens as circular AI-financing doubts mount

(27 Jul) A fresh wave of selling hit semiconductor stocks on both sides of the Atlantic as doubts grew that circular AI-financing arrangements could unravel if hyperscalers cut capital spending. Nvidia fell 5%, AMD 5.2%, and Micron 2.3%. The Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.2% while the S&P 500 ended barely changed and the Dow added 0.5%.

Read full article → Bloomberg · Trading Economics
US · Fed / Macro

FOMC opens two-day meeting; hold widely expected but hike not off the table

(28 Jul) The Federal Reserve's fifth meeting of 2026 (Jul 28–29) opened with markets pricing roughly a 30% probability of a 25bp rate hike, down from 37% after the Iran pause. Chair Kevin Warsh has given few forward-guidance clues. June durable goods came in at +0.4%, well below the +2% consensus, adding to the case for steady rates.

Read full article → Kiplinger · Schwab · U.S. News
Energy · Oil

Oil surges ~20% month-to-date despite Monday retreat as Hormuz–Red Sea disruption persists

(27 Jul) Despite Monday's near-9% drop in WTI to ~$83 and Brent to ~$90, both benchmarks remain up over 20% in July as Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz shipping lane and Houthi forces in Yemen claimed attacks on Saudi Aramco facilities at Jizan and Yanbu ports. Shipping through Hormuz remained thin even after the truce announcement.

Read full article → Reuters · Trading Economics
US · Macro / Housing

June new home sales beat estimates but remain 5.6% below year-ago levels

(27 Jul) US new home sales rose 1.6% month-on-month to 628,000 annualised units in June, topping the 620,000 consensus but remaining 5.6% below year-earlier levels. The average selling price fell to $475,400, down 9.5% from May and 6.5% below June 2025, offering modest affordability relief.

Read full article → Schwab
06

Egypt Focus

Egypt macro, the external accounts and the EGX listing pipeline in focus — sourced from economyplusme, CBE, IMF and Enterprise.

Headline inflation (urban)
14.3%
-0.3pp m/m
Core CPI (annual)
14.3%
+0.5pp m/m
Net int'l reserves
$55.07bn
provisional end-Jun 2026
CBE overnight deposit
19.00%
0bps
Remittances (11M FY25/26)
$43.1bn
record
SCZONE revenue FY25/26
EGP 15.9bn ($314mn)
+37% y/y
CBE · Monetary Policy

CBE holds all four corridor rates for a third consecutive meeting

(9 Jul) The Monetary Policy Committee left the overnight deposit rate at 19%, overnight lending at 20%, main operation and discount rates both at 19.5% — its third straight hold following 825bps of cumulative cuts since April 2025. The MPC cited ongoing monitoring of inflation dynamics and the geopolitical energy shock as key reasons for the pause.

Read full article → Egypt Today · CBE
CBE · Inflation

Urban inflation eases to 14.3% in June — third straight month of decline

(9 Jul) Egypt's annual urban CPI slowed to 14.3% in June from 14.6% in May and 14.9% in April, below consensus of 15.1%. The deceleration was driven by food & beverage prices cooling to +5.4% from +7.6%. On a monthly basis, CPI rose 1.1%, down sharply from the 3.2% surge in May. Core CPI annual rate also printed 14.3%.

Read full article → CBE · Trading Economics
CBE · Reserves

Net international reserves reach $55.07bn at end-June — provisional

(8 Jul) The CBE announced net international reserves stood at $55,072.3mn at end-June 2026 on a provisional basis, underpinned by multilateral financing flows, Gulf investments and strong remittance receipts. Reserves provide key import cover amid regional volatility.

Read full article → CBE
CBE · Remittances

Egyptian remittances hit record $43.1bn over eleven months of FY 2025/26

(8 Jul) Remittances from Egyptians working abroad reached a record $43.1bn in the eleven months of fiscal year 2025/26, according to the CBE. The figure underscores the role of remittances as Egypt's largest single source of foreign-currency inflows amid suppressed Suez Canal transit revenues.

Read full article → CBE
SCZONE · Industrial

SCZONE posts record FY2025/26 revenue of EGP 15.9bn, 37% above prior year

(Jul, early) The Suez Canal Economic Zone recorded its highest annual revenue since establishment — EGP 15.9bn ($314mn) in FY2025/26, exceeding the budget target by 51%. Dollar-denominated revenue surged 44% y/y to $246mn. Industrial-zone contributions rose to 19% of total revenue vs an 8% historic average. Combined projects pipeline stands at $16.4bn across 412 contracts.

Read full article → Amwal Al Ghad · Arab News · Economy Middle East
Enterprise · IPO / Privatisation

Four more state-owned companies eyeing July listing on EGX

(27 Jul) EnterpriseAM reported that four additional state-owned companies are looking to list on the Egyptian Exchange in July as part of the government's accelerated privatisation programme. No further ticker details were disclosed in the publicly accessible preview, but the pipeline forms part of the broader state asset offer programme underpinning IMF programme conditionality.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM
Enterprise · Renewables

Karm Holding to build $10mn solar microgrid in Abu Zenima, South Sinai

(27 Jul) EnterpriseAM reported that Karm Holding will invest up to $10mn to construct a solar microgrid in South Sinai's Abu Zenima industrial zone — a region long stalled for lack of reliable power. The project is expected to unlock the area's mining and industrial potential, consistent with Egypt's broader push to decarbonise remote industrial corridors.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM
Fiscal / Climate Risk

Egypt publishes first-ever Fiscal Risk Statement on Climate Change for FY 2026/27

(23 Jul) Egypt's Finance Ministry issued the country's maiden Fiscal Risk Statement on Climate Change, quantifying how physical climate shocks and the low-carbon transition could affect public finances — from the electricity grid to PPP infrastructure. The statement sits inside Egypt's IMF-backed reform programme; the Fund flagged the state's guarantee stock as a fiscal risk in its 29 June statement.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM
Economy / PMI

S&P Global projects Egypt GDP growth slows to 3.8% in Q2 2026 as PMI signals cool-down

(Jul) EnterpriseAM cited S&P Global projections that annual GDP growth could slow to 3.8% in Q2 2026 from 5% in Q2 2025, based on PMI-GDP relationships. Nearly 27% of firms surveyed reported weaker sales vs 11% reporting improvement, blaming client liquidity constraints, raw material shortages and rising prices — partly reflecting the energy shock from Iran-conflict oil prices.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM
Tourism

Egypt welcomed 9mn tourists in H1 2026, up 4% y/y despite regional turbulence

(Jul) EnterpriseAM reported Egypt received around 9mn tourists in H1 2026, a 4% y/y gain, though well below the pace of Q1 when arrivals jumped 43.5% y/y to 5.6mn and revenue hit $5.1bn. The slowdown reflects the chilling effect of the US–Iran war on MENA travel flows in Q2.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM
Macro · Egypt / Geopolitics

Egypt PM orders updated scenarios for economic fallout of US–Israel–Iran military operations

(Jul) Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly directed the ministerial economic group to update comprehensive scenarios for handling the economic fallout of ongoing military operations involving the US, Israel and Iran. The government flagged challenges from rising energy and commodity prices and disrupted trade.

Read full article → Egypt Today
CBE / T-Notes

CBE issues first-ever 63-day Treasury notes worth EGP 150bn on behalf of Finance Ministry

(Jul, week of Jul 21) The CBE issued EGP 150bn of short-term 63-day Treasury notes — a new instrument — on behalf of the Ministry of Finance, as reported by EnterpriseAM. The move reflects the ministry's effort to diversify its domestic debt maturity profile and manage near-term liquidity needs.

Read full article → EnterpriseAM